Pending Home Sales in Steep Decline

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Pending home sales are often considered as a leading indicator of existing-home purchases. For the sixth month, U.S. pending home sales fell in November to the second-lowest on record. Higher borrowing costs and economic uncertainties continue to exclude many potential buyers out of the market. The National Association of Realtors index of contract signings to purchase previously owned homes took a hit. The index decreased to 73.9, exceeding estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The doubling of borrowing costs, from the start of 2022 to present, has caused home sales and prices to decline. A University of Michigan survey indicates that current home-buying conditions are worse than the early 1980s.

 

Builders Reuse, Recycle and Repurpose

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Bazzani Building Company completed the 730 Leonard Project last year in Grand Rapids. The project is a prime example of adaptive reuse. Renovating existing buildings into new housing is a growing trend. Over the last two years in the U.S., adaptive reuse apartments increased by 25%. Empty office buildings, dilapidated factories, vacant healthcare buildings and old churches have been revamped and repurposed in a sort of nationwide recycling project. In 2020 and 2021, recycling old buildings added 28,000 rentals onto the market. RentCafe predicts that over 77,000 apartments are currently being reprocessed.  The building recycling trend is outpacing new construction.

Mortgage Rates Surge Upward As Q3 Earnings Post

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Rising interest rates are having a big effect in Southeast Michigan. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is higher than 7%. This surge hasn’t been seen since April 2002. The U.S. Federal Reserve is hiking rates in order to control inflation. Detroit-based Rocket Mortgage parent company Rocket Companies Inc. will soon be reporting its third-quarter earnings on Nov. 3, providing a better picture of how mortgage companies will fare in the future months. Ann Arbor-based Home Point will report its earnings on Nov. 10. Pontiac’s UWM has not released the date of its third-quarter report.

 

As Mortgage Rates Rise, Demand Drops

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The S&P 500 bounced back from the 2022 lows. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds yield hit 4.337% on Friday. Following a Wall Street Journal report that some Federal Reserve officials are uneasy with the pace of the central bank’s interest rate increases, treasury yields slid down to close out the week. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that U.S. mortgage demand dropped to a 25-year low, and the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 7.15%. The S&P 500’s price to earnings ration is 15.5 which is below its 10-year average.

 

Detroit’s Satellite Suburbs Boom With New Home Construction

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Outer-ring suburbs are booming with new residential construction and newly paved roads despite the rising interest rates that are causing the resale home market to slow. According to census data, more than 3,000 new single-family homes were ok’d to be built from January to July of 2022. New construction in satellite suburbs of larger cities is a national trend. Rising interest rates have had an effect on the new-home market. New-home permits are down 10 to 15 percent from last year, but the demand isn’t gone. Lower lumber prices and the continued high demand for housing have helped builders.

 

 

 

 

Apartment Construction Gets A Boost Due To Mortgage Rates

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New construction of multifamily properties jumped 28 percent in August. bringing the market’s multifamily segment to its highest level since 1986. The jump is due to rising mortgage rates. Single-family home construction also increased slightly in August after a two-year low. Borrowing costs have doubled since late 2020 due to interest-rate hikes designed to tame high inflation. Last week, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage surpassed 6 percent. The continued low apartment vacancy rates and low single-family inventory have given multifamily construction a boost.

 

Bed Bath & Beyond To Close 5 Michigan Stores

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Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. is closing five Michigan locations, as part of a 150-store closing and liquidation plan. Many of the closings are occurring in the upper MIdwest, New York and New Jersey. The changes, along with job cuts for 20% of its workforce, will slash costs. The company has a new $500 million line of credit to get back on good terms with its suppliers. Complicating its turnaround plan, the company’s Chief Financial Officer Gustavo Arnal committed suicide. The rise of Amazon.com Inc. and other online retailers contributed to Bed Bath & Beyond’s struggles. The five affected Michigan locations are Chesterfield, Farmington Hills, Northville, Walker and White Lake.

 

Cities Rethink Parking Rules

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The city of Ann Arbor recently voted to remove all minimum off-street parking requirements. Detroit is reviewing its zoning code, possibly implementing new rules regarding how many parking spaces are needed for uses like housing, retail and industrial. Both examples are part of a growing trend in Michigan and around the U.S. as cities rethink their parking rules. Complying with Detroit’s parking requirements is a pain and poses a threat to business growth. Some Detroit-area businesses and organizations think the parking minimums are old-fashioned and block the development of vibrant neighborhoods. Others remain skeptical of entirely scrapping all parking minimums.

 

 

Metro Detroit’s Fair Market Rents Increase

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The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is predicting rent hikes for the 2023 fiscal year in metro Detroit. It published fair market rents at a 11.9 percent increase for a two-bedroom apartment. The rate is increasing from $1,084 to $1,213, beginning October 1. This increase is higher than the Michigan and national averages which hover around 10.3 to 10.4 percent. Metro Ann Arbor rates are 9.7 percent higher. Kalamazoo County wins the prize for the highest fair market rent increase at 19.3 percent. Private sector data was used to estimate changes. The figures are used to determine rent ceilings for certain low-income and emergency grants, as well as the worth of housing vouchers and the maximum award amounts for Continuums of Care.

 

Michigan Mobile Home Owners Feel The Pinch As Lot Rent Increases

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Across the U.S., private equity investors are buying up manufactured housing communities and driving up lot rents. Many mobile homeowners have lower or fixed incomes, and increases in rent make it difficult to meet expenses. Older mobile home residents are particularly impacted, often lacking money for adequate food.  A series of Michigan bills could hamper those investors’ actions by creating more protections for mobile homeowners and updating the state’s manufactured housing law. Mobile home ownership is one of the few affordable housing options in rural and urban areas.